DBRS Morningstar Confirms Ratings on Globaldrive Auto Receivables 2018-A B.V.

DBRS Ratings Limited (DBRS Morningstar) confirmed its ratings on the Class A and Class B Notes (the Notes) issued by Globaldrive Auto Receivables 2018-A B.V. (the Issuer), as follows:

-- Class A Notes confirmed at AAA (sf)
-- Class B Notes confirmed at AA (high) (sf)

The ratings of the Notes address the timely payment of interest and ultimate repayment of principal on or before the legal final maturity date.

The confirmations follow an annual review of the transaction and are based on the following analytical considerations:
-- Portfolio performance, in terms of delinquencies, defaults and losses as of the August 2019 payment date;
-- Probability of default (PD), loss given default (LGD) and expected loss assumptions on the remaining receivables;
-- Current available credit enhancement to the Notes to cover the expected losses at their respective rating levels.

The Issuer is a securitisation of new, used and ex-demonstration car and light commercial vehicle loan receivables originated in Germany by FCE Bank plc, German Branch and Ford Bank AG. The receivables are serviced by Ford Bank GmbH.

PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE
As of the August 2019 payment date, loans that were two- to three-months in arrears and loans more than 90 days in arrears both represented 0.1% of the outstanding portfolio balance, up from 0.0% at the initial rating date. The cumulative default ratio was 0.0%.

PORTFOLIO ASSUMPTIONS
DBRS Morningstar conducted an analysis of the remaining pool of receivables and maintained its base case PD assumption at 1.6%. DBRS Morningstar also maintained its LGD assumptions of 50.0% and 49.0%, at the AAA (sf) and AA (high) (sf) rating levels, respectively.

CREDIT ENHANCEMENT AND RESERVES
As of the August 2019 payment date, credit enhancement to the Class A Notes was 9.5%, up from 8.0% at the DBRS Morningstar initial rating. Credit enhancement to the Class B Notes was 6.0%, up from 5.0% at the DBRS Morningstar initial rating. Credit enhancement is provided by subordination of the junior notes.

The transaction benefits from a non-amortising liquidity reserve, currently funded to its target level of EUR 5.8 million. The liquidity reserve is available to cover senior fees, senior swap payments and interest shortfall on the Class A and Class B Notes.

A commingling reserve is also currently funded to its target level of EUR 16.5 million, and will increase in size to EUR 23 million in September 2021, since the repayment of the balloon amounts substantially increases the amount of expected collections following this date. The commingling reserve can only be used in the event of insolvency of the servicer to cover payment disruptions.

HSBC Bank plc acts as the account bank for the transaction. Based on the DBRS Morningstar private rating of HSBC Bank plc, the downgrade provisions outlined in the transaction documents, and other mitigating factors inherent in the transaction structure, DBRS Morningstar considers the risk arising from the exposure to the account bank to be consistent with the rating assigned to the Class A Notes, as described in DBRS Morningstar's "Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions" methodology.

Lloyds Bank Corporate Markets plc acts as the swap counterparty for the transaction. DBRS Morningstar's private rating of Lloyds Bank Corporate Markets plc is above the First Rating Threshold as described in DBRS Morningstar's "Derivative Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions" methodology.

The transaction structure was analysed in Intex DealMaker.

Notes:
All figures are in euros unless otherwise noted.

The principal methodology applicable to the ratings is the “Master European Structured Finance Surveillance Methodology”.

DBRS Morningstar has applied the principal methodology consistently and conducted a review of the transaction in accordance with the principal methodology.

A review of the transaction legal documents was not conducted as the legal documents have remained unchanged since the most recent rating action.

Other methodologies referenced in this transaction are listed at the end of this press release.

These may be found on www.dbrs.com at: http://www.dbrs.com/about/methodologies.

For a more detailed discussion of the sovereign risk impact on Structured Finance ratings, please refer to “Appendix C: The Impact of Sovereign Ratings on Other DBRS Credit Ratings” of the “Global Methodology for Rating Sovereign Governments” at: https://www.dbrs.com/research/350410/global-methodology-for-rating-sovereign-governments.

The sources of data and information used for these ratings include investor reports provided by FCE Bank plc and loan-level data provided by the European DataWarehouse GmbH.

DBRS Morningstar did not rely upon third-party due diligence in order to conduct its analysis.

At the time of the initial rating, DBRS Morningstar was supplied with third-party assessments. However, this did not impact the rating analysis.

DBRS Morningstar considers the data and information available to it for the purposes of providing these ratings to be of satisfactory quality.

DBRS Morningstar does not audit or independently verify the data or information it receives in connection with the rating process.

The last rating action on this transaction took place on 18 October 2018, when DBRS Morningstar finalised its provisional ratings of the Class A and Class B Notes at AAA (sf) and AA (high) (sf), respectively.

The lead analyst responsibilities for this transaction have been transferred to Clare Wootton.

Information regarding DBRS Morningstar ratings, including definitions, policies and methodologies is available at www.dbrs.com.

To assess the impact of changing the transaction parameters on the rating, DBRS Morningstar considered the following stress scenarios as compared with the parameters used to determine the rating (the Base Case):
-- DBRS Morningstar expected a lifetime base case PD and LGD for the pool based on a review of the current assets. Adverse changes to asset performance may cause stresses to base case assumptions and therefore have a negative effect on credit ratings.
-- The base case PD of current pool of loans for the Issuer is 1.6% and the base case LGDs at the AAA (sf) and AA (high) (sf) rating levels are 50.0% and 49.0%, respectively.
-- The risk sensitivity overview below illustrates the ratings expected if the PD and LGD increase by a certain percentage over the base case assumption. For example, if the LGD increases by 50%, the rating of the Class A Notes would be expected to remain at AAA (sf), assuming no change in the PD. If the PD increases by 50%, the rating of the Class A Notes would be expected to remain at AAA (sf), assuming no change in the LGD. Furthermore, if both the PD and LGD increase by 50%, the rating of the Class A Notes would be expected to remain at AAA (sf).

Class A Notes Risk Sensitivity:
-- 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AAA (sf)

Class B Notes Risk Sensitivity:
-- 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AA (high) (sf)
-- 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AA (high) (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD, expected rating of AA (high) (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD, expected rating of AA (high) (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AA (high) (sf)
-- 25% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AA (high) (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD and 25% increase in LGD, expected rating of AA (high) (sf)
-- 50% increase in PD and 50% increase in LGD, expected rating of AA (high) (sf)

For further information on DBRS Morningstar historical default rates published by the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) in a central repository, see: http://cerep.esma.europa.eu/cerep-web/statistics/defaults.xhtml.

Ratings assigned by DBRS Ratings Limited are subject to EU and US regulations only.

Lead Analyst: Clare Wootton, Senior Financial Analyst
Rating Committee Chair: Alfonso Candelas, Senior Vice President
Initial Rating Date: 4 October 2018

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The rating methodologies used in the analysis of this transaction can be found at: http://www.dbrs.com/about/methodologies.

-- Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions
-- Master European Structured Finance Surveillance Methodology
-- Operational Risk Assessment for European Structured Finance Servicers
-- Rating European Consumer and Commercial Asset-Backed Securitisations
-- Interest Rate Stresses for European Structured Finance Transactions
-- Derivative Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions

A description of how DBRS Morningstar analyses structured finance transactions and how the methodologies are collectively applied can be found at: http://www.dbrs.com/research/278375.

For more information on this credit or on this industry, visit www.dbrs.com or contact us at info@dbrs.com.