DBRS Morningstar Confirms Rating on Volta IV Electricity Receivables Securitisation

DBRS Ratings GmbH (DBRS Morningstar) confirmed its A (sf) rating on the Senior Notes issued by Volta IV Electricity Receivables Securitisation (Volta IV).

The confirmation follows an annual review of the transaction and is based on the following analytical considerations:

-- The linkage between the performance of the sovereign and the performance of the securities issued by Volta IV.
-- No adverse change of the legal or regulatory framework is expected.
-- The transaction is not exposed to the credit risk of any specific entity.
-- Current economic environment and an assessment of sustainable performance, as a result of the Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) pandemic.

The transaction is a static securitisation of Portuguese electricity tariff receivables (Credit Rights) assigned to Volta IV by EDP – Serviço Universal, S.A. – NR (EDP-SU). Pursuant to the Portuguese Decree-law 29/2006 (as subsequently amended and republished), EDP-SU has the right to recover any amounts arising from the difference between the costs of acquiring electricity under the special regime generation according to administrative prices and the sale price of the respective electricity valued according to market prices. The Credit Rights are paid entirely by Portuguese electricity consumers through their inclusion in the tariffs on a permanent basis as a component of the Global Use of System Tariff, or total rate per unit paid by end consumers. The transaction closed in July 2016.

Based on DBRS Morningstar’s “Rating Portuguese Electricity Tariff Securitisations” methodology, the ratings on the Senior Note issued by Volta IV are limited to a maximum of two-notch increase above the current local currency sovereign rating of the Republic of Portugal (Portugal). DBRS Morningstar’s Sovereign Group confirmed Portugal’s Long-Term Foreign and Local Currency Issuer Ratings at BBB (high) with a Stable trend in September 2020, two notches below the current rating of the Senior Notes.

Citibank N.A., London Branch acts as Account Bank for the transaction. Based on the DBRS Morningstar private rating, the downgrade provisions outlined in the transactions documents, and structural mitigants, DBRS Morningstar considers the risk arising from the exposure to Citibank N.A. to be consistent with the rating assigned to the Senior Notes, as described in DBRS Morningstar’s “Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions” methodology.

The Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) and the resulting isolation measures have caused an economic contraction, leading to sharp increases in unemployment rates and income reductions for many borrowers. DBRS Morningstar anticipates that delinquencies may arise in the coming months for many ABS transactions, some meaningfully. The ratings are based on additional analysis and, where appropriate, additional adjustments to expected performance as a result of the global efforts to contain the spread of the coronavirus.

On 16 April 2020, the DBRS Morningstar Sovereign group released a set of macroeconomic scenarios for the 2020-22 period in select economies. These scenarios were last updated on 10 September 2020. For details, see the following commentaries: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/366542/global-macroeconomic-scenarios-september-update and https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/359903/global-macroeconomic-scenarios-application-to-credit-ratings. The DBRS Morningstar analysis considered impacts consistent with the moderate scenario in the referenced reports.

On 8 May 2020, DBRS Morningstar published a commentary outlining how the coronavirus crisis is likely to affect DBRS Morningstar-rated ABS transactions in Europe. For more details please see https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/360734/european-abs-transactions-risk-exposure-to-coronavirus-covid-19-effect and https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/362712/european-structured-finance-covid-19-credit-risk-exposure-roadmap.

For more information regarding rating methodologies and Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19), please see the following DBRS Morningstar press release: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/357883.

For more information regarding structured finance rating methodologies and Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19), please see the following DBRS Morningstar press release: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/358308.

ESG CONSIDERATIONS
A description of how DBRS Morningstar considers ESG factors within the DBRS Morningstar analytical framework and its methodologies can be found at: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/357792.

Notes:
All figures are in euros unless otherwise noted.

The principal methodology applicable to the ratings is the “Master European Structured Finance Surveillance Methodology” (22 April 2020).

DBRS Morningstar has applied the principal methodology consistently and conducted a review of the transaction in accordance with the principal methodology.

A review of the transaction legal documents was not conducted as the legal documents have remained unchanged since the most recent rating action.

Other methodologies referenced in this transaction are listed at the end of this press release.

These may be found at: http://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/about/methodologies

For a more detailed discussion of the sovereign risk impact on Structured Finance ratings, please refer to “Appendix C: The Impact of Sovereign Ratings on Other DBRS Morningstar Credit Ratings” of the “Global Methodology for Rating Sovereign Governments” at:
https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/364527/global-methodology-for-rating-sovereign-governments.

The sources of data and information used for these ratings include information provided by Citibank N.A., London Branch.

DBRS Morningstar did not rely upon third-party due diligence in order to conduct its analysis.

At the time of the initial rating, DBRS Morningstar was not supplied with third-party assessments. However, this did not impact the rating analysis.

DBRS Morningstar considers the data and information available to it for the purposes of providing these ratings to be of satisfactory quality.

DBRS Morningstar does not audit or independently verify the data or information it receives in connection with the rating process.

The last rating action on this transaction took place on 30 October 2019, when DBRS Morningstar upgraded the rating on the Senior Notes to A (sf) from A (low) (sf).

Information regarding DBRS Morningstar ratings, including definitions, policies, and methodologies, is available on www.dbrsmorningstar.com.

To assess the impact of changing the transaction parameters on the rating, DBRS Morningstar considered the following stress scenarios, as compared to the parameters used to determine the rating (the Base Case):

DBRS Morningstar concludes that for the Senior Notes:
-- A hypothetical downgrade of the sovereign rating of Portugal by one notch, ceteris paribus, would lead to a decrease in the rating of the Senior Notes to A (low) (sf).
-- A hypothetical downgrade of the sovereign rating of Portugal by two notches, ceteris paribus, would lead to a decrease in the rating of the Senior Notes to BBB (high) (sf).

For further information on DBRS Morningstar historical default rates published by the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) in a central repository, see: http://cerep.esma.europa.eu/cerep-web/statistics/defaults.xhtml.

Ratings assigned by DBRS Ratings GmbH are subject to EU and U.S. regulations only.

Lead Analyst: Petter Wettestad, Senior Analyst
Rating Committee Chair: Alfonso Candelas, Senior Vice President
Initial Rating Date: 18 July 2016

DBRS Ratings GmbH
Neue Mainzer Straße 75
60311 Frankfurt am Main Deutschland
Tel. +49 (69) 8088 3500
Geschäftsführer: Detlef Scholz
Amtsgericht Frankfurt am Main, HRB 110259

The rating methodologies used in the analysis of this transaction can be found at: http://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/about/methodologies.

-- Master European Structured Finance Surveillance Methodology (22 April 2020),
https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/359884/master-european-structured-finance-surveillance-methodology.
-- Rating Portuguese Electricity Tariff Securitisations (August 25 2020),
https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/366095/rating-portuguese-electricity-tariff-securitisations
-- Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions (11 September 2019),
https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/350234/legal-criteria-for-european-structured-finance-transactions.
-- Derivative Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions (24 September 2020),
https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/367092/derivative-criteria-for-european-structured-finance-transactions.
-- Interest Rate Stresses for European Structured Finance Transactions (28 September 2020), https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/367292/interest-rate-stresses-for-european-structured-finance-transactions

A description of how DBRS Morningstar analyses structured finance transactions and how the methodologies are collectively applied can be found at: http://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/278375

For more information on these credits or on this industry, visit www.dbrsmorningstar.com or contact us at info@dbrsmorningstar.com.