Newsletter

DBRS Morningstar CMBS Monthly Highlights—May Remittance: Delinquency and Special Servicing Rates Improve; Troubled Malls Drive Maturity Payoff Rate Sharply Lower

CMBS

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Summary

DBRS Morningstar presents the Monthly Highlights report, which covers CMBS market activity and performance for conduit and SASB loans (excluding agency loans). In May:

-- The volume of delinquent loans continues to fall, declining by more than $1.5 billion and pushing the May delinquency rate down 30 basis points (bps) to 3.10%, the lowest level since April 2020.
-- Compared with year-ago levels, the hotel sector saw the largest percentage decline in delinquency rate, falling 8.46 percentage points, followed by retail with a decline of 3.71 percentage points.
-- Despite newly transferred loans exceeding resolutions, the special servicing rate fell for the 20th straight month, down 16 bps to 5.20%, spurred by a jump in liquidated loans.
-- The hotel sector also saw the steepest special servicing rate decline over the past 12 months, falling 12.17 percentage points to 8.81%.
-- Liquidation activity broke the $400 million level for the first time in eight months, spiking to $468.5 million, more than double April's balance, while the 12-month weighted-average loss severity remained at roughly 50%.
-- The year-to-date maturity payoff rate plummeted to 33.6% in May, dragging the year-to-date rate down to 63.5% from more than 75% in April. Despite rising interest rates, we expect the full-year rate to improve to 65% to 70% by YE2022.